NFL Football Picks Week 17 January 1, 2023

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans Sunday, January 1, 2023 at 1:00pm EST

Rob Vinciletti NFL Pick - On Sunday the NFL play is on Jacksonville at 1 eastern. The Jags will play hard here. They have home loss revenge for a loos to the Texans 13-6. We note that week 17 home dogs with a .300 or less win percentage have not covered since 2000 if they are off a road dog win and the opponent is also off a win.  The JAGS are rolling right now and will want to get to .500 on the year.

They are 6th in total yards this season and 15th in points allowed. That is a stark contrast to a Houston team that is 30th in scoring and 30th in yards allowed. The Texans have failed to cover the last 5 at home vs a team with a losing road record and and 4 of 5 after allowing 14 or less. Look for Jacksonville to serve up revenge here today.

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Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Sunday, January 1, 2023 at 1:00pm EST

The Broncos have lost six of their last seven games and seven straight road games. They are the worst offensive team in the league, scoring a little over 15 points per game. They have one of the worst running games in the league and the 20th-best passing game. The Chiefs have the eighth-best run defense in the league and their pass defense has been great in recent games, with the team holding their last three opponents under 200 passing yards per game, so expect them to keep Denver’s offense in check.

Scoring hasn’t been a problem for the Chiefs, who have won eight of their last nine games. They have the second-highest scoring average in the league thanks to the top passing game, led by Mahomes, who is the front-runner for the MVP award. The Broncos usually play well against the pass, but they struggled in their last three games, giving up more than 240 passing yards per game. They gave up over 350 passing yards in their first game against the Chiefs and will have a hard time slowing them down once again, so go with Kansas City to cover the spread. NFL Pick BET ON Kansas City Chiefs -12.5 .

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