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NFL Total Picks For Week 11
Over: Chicago at Atlanta – Justin Fields is on fire accounting for 15 touchdowns in his last six games, but the Bears are giving up 38.3 points in their last three games.
Under: Washington at Houston – Houston only has scored more than 20 points once this season, while Washington has broken the 17-point barrier twice in the last eight games. Fanduel. Bet $5, get $125 in Free Bets Guaranteed!
Under: New York Jets at New England – Two outstanding defensive- minded coaches with two weeks to prepare against inexperienced quarterbacks.
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Denver Broncos vs Laa Vegas Raiders Sunday November 20, 2022, 4:05 PM (EST)
Joe D'Amico NFL Pick - This Sunday in a battle between two AFC West combatants that both had high hopes for the season, and I think we would all agree, both have fallen way short of expectations. I want to talk about the Las Vegas Raiders traveling to Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos. Both Las Vegas and Denver came into this season thinking that they were playoff contenders. Well as we passed the halfway point of the regular season campaign, they are a combined 5-13. Sports fans it would take a miracle for either one of these teams to make the postseason. However, being a resident of Las Vegas for 32 years, I know this Raiders team.
I have made money going against them a few times this season, I’ll admit that (just last week with the Colts wink wink nudge nudge). However now knowing that their postseason hopes are basically nonexistent, takes a lot of pressure off of the Raiders. As far as the Broncos go, no matter how good your defense is, it just can’t compensate for an offense that scores less than 15-points a game. Having said that one of the few bright spots over the last few years for Las Vegas is that they have dominated Denver. Going back to 2018, they have taken seven of the last eight meeting straight up. Just since the beginning of last season they have won all three matchups over their division rival. As tough as Denver is, Vegas has manhandled them in recent matchups. Beating Denver is something that Las Vegas head Coach Josh McDaniels takes a lot of joy in doing. He was tossed aside from the team more than a decade ago. Trust me, this is a game that he and his squad can let out their frustrations.
As I mentioned earlier, it doesn’t matter how good your defense is, when your offense can only muster a dismal 14.6-points per game, eventually your stop-unit is going to get overworked, fatigued, and tired. I look for Vegas to take advantage of a spent Denver “D” here, and get a well-needed win while earning their head coach a little bit of payback. The Broncos are 4-13 ATS their last 17 vs. the AFC and 4-9 ATS their last 13 games overall. Take the Raiders Plus the points.
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New York Jets vs. New England Patriots
Marc Lawrence NFL Pick - Jets: 6-1 ATS under head coach Robert Saleh against foes coming off a SUATS … Pats: 2-7-1 ATS at home coming off a Bye week when facing an opponent coming off a win… With the Jets sporting the better offense and the better defense, we recommend a 1* play on the NY Jets plus the points . Check out Marc Lawrence premium picks Sunday Click here.
New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams Sunday November 20, 2022, 1:00 PM (EST)
Matt Fargo Sports NFL Pick - This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our Sunday Free Play. The Rams season could be on the line in this game as a loss here drops them to 3-7 and possibly three games out of the final playoff spot in the NFC with a 49ers win on Monday night. Los Angeles has dropped three straight games as the offense has gotten nothing with just 14.7 ppg and 228.4 ypg over that stretch and now they have to go on without Cooper Kupp who is out with an ankle injury. The offense has been kept in check all season so this is nothing new as the Rams are dead last in total offense and No. 29 in scoring offense with a lot of this due to a non-existent rushing game that is averaging a mere 68.1 ypg with Cam Akers being one of the bigger disappointments in the league.
The defense has held its own as they are No. 6 overall and can stop this Saints offense that has been equally as bad of late as their own. New Orleans has dropped two straight and four of its last five games and is a half-game behind the Rams in the Wild Card picture so this game is important for them as well but they are one of the most banged up teams in the league with nine starters out.
They will try to get Alvin Kamara going but he has been a big disappointment this season as well as will go up against a Rams rushing defense that is No. 6 in adjusted run defense EPA. The New Orleans defense has played well for the most part but could struggle against the Rams passing game as the Saints are No. 22 in passing defense EPA, and their pass rush is No. 26 in pressuring the quarterback. Here, we play against home favorites averaging between 18 and 23 ppg after two straight losses by 10 or more points going up against teams allowing between 18 and 23 ppg. This situation is 34-9 ATS (79.1 percent) since 1983. Play (463) Los Angeles Rams plus the points. Check out Matt Fargo Sports Premium Picks For Sunday.
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