New Mexico State vs New Mexico 8:00 PM EST
Joe D'Amico Pick - In what has become the “Battle of I-25”, in my opinion I feel the wrong team is favored here. My numbers have the Aggies coming in here as three-point fav. They took last year’s meeting at home in mid-October, 21-9. That ATS cover also gave them seven ATS covers over the last eight meetings in this rivalry. That just might be reason enough to side with them here. But wait folks, because there’s more (lol). While both teams are supposed to be bottom feeders in their perspective conferences, you cannot ignore the fact that the Aggies have tallied more victories against better teams than did the Lobos.
Just since the middle of last season, New Mexico State had straight up victories, over the likes of Hawaii, New Mexico, UMass, and yes, even Liberty. By the way, they also won a Bowl game on December 26 over Bowling Green. Meanwhile, prior to last week’s win over Tennessee Tech, New Mexico was riding a 10-game straight up losing streak, in which they only covered one time. QB, Diego Pavia has put up some solid numbers, much better than Dylan Hopkins. Plus, the Lobos also have a couple of able ball-carriers in Monte Watkins and Star Thomas.
They have the luxury of switching off running backs and keeping their legs fresh. The Lobos have one RB, in Jacory Croskey-Merritt. This makes it a bit easier for the Aggies to key on him. As I mentioned earlier, I think the wrong team is favored here. So, let’s take the points with New Mexico State +2.5.
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BYU vs Arkansas 7:30pm
The Arkansas Razorbacks have a good quarterback in K.J. Jefferson, but he doesn’t have the skill position talent around him that he had in the past. Rocket Sanders is out this game with an injury.
The Razorbacks lost their top four WR’s from last year too. Arkansas has slowed their tempo down to a crawl. They are 107th out of 133 teams in the country in terms of tempo. BYU is averaging just 5.34 yards per play (94th in the country) through two games. Those two games were against Sam Houston State and Southern Utah. The Cougars are 115th in the nation in YPC. BYU is 109th in tempo so they too are very slow paced. I see a grinder of a game here with this one staying under the total. I’ll take the under. BYU vs Arkansas UNDER 47.5.
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Bowling Green at Michigan
Michigan has their sights set on a national championship and must continue to win this week. Take the Wolverines to dominate another team as they coast to an easy victory. The Wolverines are the second-best team in the nation for a reason and will get an easy win and cover this week at home to remain undefeated. Bet on Micgan Minus the points.
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