Free NFL Pick For Sunday September 8, 2024
Tennessee Titans vs Chicago Bears
Matt Fargo Sports Free Pick - This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our Sunday Free Play. The public really loves the Bears which has forced oddsmakers to overadjust some of their odds as numbers have come down in Super Bowl, NFC and NFC North odds while the win total has gone up as they are hit with their fourth highest win total over the last 11 years. The Bears drafted Caleb Williams as their hopeful franchise quarterback and the public seems to be all in with many other upgrades throughout the roster as well so this is a team on the rise but we are not laying over a field goal in the season opener with a rookie quarterback no matter how good he is supposed to be, supposed to being the key word.
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Williams does come into a unique situation as while he is the No. 1 overall draft pick, the team around him is not a last place talent but we still cannot ignore the fact that starting quarterbacks in Week One that were the No. 1 overall draft pick are just 2-21. The Bears had a solid improvement on defense from 2022 and finished No. 13 in EPA thanks to a great second half of the season. Over their final eight games, they allowed 31 points against the Lions in one of those but in the other seven games, they gave up just 15.1 ppg but they actually face a revamped offense that could cause problems. Tennessee hired Brian Callahan as its new head coach who served as the Bengals offensive coordinator the last five seasons and he brings in a good pedigree as he is the son of Bill Callahan who also came over to coach the offensive line which was in dire need of help.
The offense has been upgraded along the offensive line which is a big step in the progress of quarterback Will Levis who showed he can succeed in this league but he needs more consistency. The Titans also signed receivers Calvin Ridley and Tyler Boyd, so along with DeAndre Hopkins, Levis has a very solid group to throw to. They replaced Derrick Henry with Tony Pollard who can flourish as the No. 1 back, something he never got to consistently do while in Dallas. The Titans shored up the defense as well as the secondary is stronger with the signing of cornerbacks L'Jarius Sneed and Chidobe Awuzie. We love dogs early on and in this case, Week One and Two underdogs of seven points or less are 118-76-5 ATS since 2016. Play (465) Tennessee Titans.
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