Free MLB Pick Tuesday, August 27, 2024

Free Play Matt Fargo Sports Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners

This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our Tuesday Free Play. Tampa Bay is coming off a 5-1 series opening loss on Monday to make it two straight losses and dropped the Rays back under .500. Because of the top heavy American League, Tampa Bay is likely too far out to make a Wild Card run as it is seven games out they have not tossed it in yet.

The Rays have played well on the road where they are just one game under .500 and are not getting any respect here despite a pitching matchup that is far from a big edge for the Mariners. Seattle has won two straight and three of its last four games to move two games over .500 and like the Rays, they are in the same boat in the Wild Card standings but they still are very much alive in the American League West where they are 3.5 games behind the suddenly struggling Astros.

The Mariners have been the epitome of the classic home/road split as they are 40-27 here in Seattle compared to going 27-38 on the road and that is certainly a reason they are the heavy chalk, even more so than last night. Jeffrey Springs is making his comeback from having Tommy John surgery in April of 2023 and while the last couple months are nothing more than getting back into the groove without being pushed, he is getting comfortable. His first two starts were nothing great but he found something in his next two outings against Baltimore and Arizona which is saying something as those are two of the best offenses in the league. He faced in his last start against Oakland but now has a dream matchup.

Despite a solid record at home, Seattle is dead last in home average at .207 and second to last in home OPS at .646 and making it worse tonight is facing a lefty as the Mariners are hitting .206 against left-handed pitching which is the worst in all of baseball while their .643 OPS is second worst. Logan Gilbert is having a solid season with a 3.21 ERA and 0.91 WHIP but he has been showing inconsistencies as he has a 5.74 ERA over his last five starts and while he has been mostly on the great side of his starts, the offense behind him has limited him to only seven wins and going back, the Mariners are 1-6 in his last seven starts. Play (919) Tampa Bay Rays

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