College Football Pick Thursday Florida vs Utah
Matt Fargo Sports Pick - This is a play on the UTAH UTES for our Thursday Free Play. This line has been on the move all week as at DraftKings, Utah was -5 a week ago, got up to as high as -7 on Sunday and has slowly been coming down this week. This is due to the questionable status of Utah quarterback Cam Rising who is rehabbing from a torn ACL and his status is still in limbo. If he does go, there is massive value with this number. If he cannot, it will be Bryson Barnes under center who saw limited action last season but has been prepping with the first team all through camp.
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Overall, six other starters are back on offense and the Utes possess the No. 5 ranked offensive line in the country. Defensively, they are a beast. Utah has one of the best home field advantages in college football as it is 27-2 in its last 29 home games. One loss came in 2017 against No. 10 Washington and the other came in 2020 against USC during COVID without a fan in the place so that can be tossed out making it 26 straight non-COVID wins at home.
Florida will have its hands full here no matter who goes at quarterback for Utah as the Gators have a lot of voids to fill. Anthony Richardson is gone at quarterback and Graham Mertz takes over after coming over from Wisconsin. He is dependable but does not bring the same ability to move the ball as the Badgers ranked No. 62 in Success Rate and No. 82 in Explosiveness last season.
Six starters are back on the offense as Florida lost three of its top four receivers and the offensive line is ranked No. 42. The Gators will rely heavily on the run, not a recipe for success against the No. 1 ranked defensive line in the Pac 12. Defensively, Florida has just five returning starters and lost its top five tacklers that accounted for 373 stops. Play (148) Utah Utes.
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