e Friday , September 22, 2023
Matt Fargo Sports Pick - This is a play on the PURDUE BOILERMAKERS for our Friday Free Play. Wisconsin is off to a 2-1 start but it is a misleading one. The Badgers defeated Buffalo is their season opener and the Bulls are one of the worst teams in the FBS as they are 0-3 and ranked No. 128. Wisconsin then travelled to Washington St. where it actually outgained the Cougars but lost because of a -3 turnover differential which was foreshadowing to last week.
They picked up a 21-point win over Georgia Southern despite getting outgained 455-451 as they benefitted from six turnovers from the Eagles. There has been at least a two-turnover differential in all three games so there is not a clear picture of how Wisconsin actually is in an equal scenario yet it comes in favored on the road in its Big 10 opener. Purdue is 1-2 as it lost to a very good Fresno St. team to open the season with a late touchdown by the Bulldogs to seal it.
The Boilermakers took care of Virginia Tech on the road as they outgained the Hokies by 141 total yards and then last week saw a misleading final as they were outgained only 455-403 against Syracuse but lost the turnover battle 4-1 and were unable to contain the Orange rushing game. 11 penalties for 127 yards did not help matters either. They face another good rushing attack this week but Purdue is still allowing only 3.9 ypc and can slow the Badgers down and the back half of the defense has been good by allowing only 56.6 percent completions.
Offensively, the Boilermakers have been efficient through the air with quarterback Hudson Card, a transfer from Texas, upping his completion percentage each game while throwing for three touchdowns and just one interception. Purdue has played the tougher schedule, ranked No. 26 compared to Wisconsin at No. 77 and a cleaner game here can get them the outright win Purdue +5.5.
Join our Premium Picks Sports Diary 365 Newsletter just $25 a month that’s it. Click Here to Join! Play is up and ready for tonight.