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Free Play Fresno State vs Utah State
Oskeim Sports Pick - Fresno State’s unbeaten season came to an end in Laramie last week, becoming the second ranked team this season to fall victim to the Cowboys. After playing in Laramie at the highest altitude in the FBS, the Bulldogs will be playing their second consecutive game in elevation (Logan, Utah) on short rest. Saturday marks the first time Fresno State will be playing back-to-back elevation games without a bye week since joining the Mountain West Conference. However, history suggests that Fresno State’s biggest issue in Week 7 is not the elevation but, rather, the inevitable letdown stemming from last week’s defeat. Since 2007, previously 3-0 or better college football teams coming off their first loss of the season are 203-263-11 ATS (43.6%), failing to cover the spread by an average of -1.9 points per game.
Since 1989, previously 5-0 teams coming off a loss by more than fifteen points are 46-79-4 ATS (36.8%) versus teams with win percentages of .251 to .669, falling short of market expectations by an average of -3.8 points per game. Grab the points with Utah State as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Friday, October 13. Utah State +5 . Join Oskeim Sports Premium Picks.
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